Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.029396e+00 1.284687 1.567025 1.899473 2.277263 2.690418 3.173559
2025-06-01 7.184714e-01 1.060148 1.478645 2.015474 2.672532 3.438019 4.384484
2025-06-08 4.776647e-01 0.844043 1.342001 2.034096 2.937928 4.047234 5.480102
2025-06-15 3.520260e-01 0.738060 1.314088 2.169835 3.345524 4.845695 6.845280
2025-06-22 2.512522e-01 0.633119 1.259653 2.251018 3.676573 5.557807 8.132373
2025-06-29 1.727290e-01 0.533808 1.187894 2.288316 3.939008 6.183971 9.327923
2025-07-06 1.077941e-01 0.428350 1.078724 2.246643 4.075298 6.636915 10.304411
2025-07-13 7.103599e-02 0.363634 1.023152 2.276075 4.308462 7.223718 11.470473
2025-07-20 4.498236e-02 0.307632 0.968591 2.295297 4.520088 7.781308 12.606683
2025-07-27 2.406321e-02 0.245104 0.881944 2.243072 4.610143 8.161163 13.501940
2025-08-03 1.154637e-02 0.194379 0.804533 2.193372 4.694515 8.528838 14.383122
2025-08-10 5.603616e-03 0.162932 0.763289 2.204696 4.875476 9.041122 15.476827
2025-08-17 1.658996e-03 0.125558 0.692977 2.150188 4.945188 9.394794 16.364876
2025-08-24 6.964693e-04 0.114637 0.697232 2.251683 5.290261 10.181285 17.899390
2025-08-31 9.366169e-05 0.093846 0.660651 2.258891 5.467393 10.711307 19.070055
2025-09-07 1.672442e-05 0.089789 0.681773 2.397639 5.887171 11.632263 20.833868
2025-09-14 4.465515e-15 0.080518 0.679321 2.480804 6.207875 12.403217 22.388148
2025-09-21 NaN 0.068384 0.659152 2.518698 6.444967 13.045152 23.760037
2025-09-28 NaN 0.051867 0.608189 2.473174 6.520572 13.426665 24.745743
2025-10-05 NaN 0.043171 0.588868 2.504072 6.741813 14.048066 26.102015
2025-10-12 NaN 0.035211 0.566950 2.524312 6.941278 14.635965 27.413946
2025-10-19 NaN 0.025106 0.519921 2.468415 6.985457 14.965549 28.333877
2025-10-26 NaN 0.017382 0.476876 2.415262 7.029844 15.293738 29.254158